Friday, February 23, 2007

Oscar Weekend Predictions - Who Will Win? Who Should Win?


It's Oscar Time again!

Although some are saying this will be the lowest rated Oscar telecast - mainly because the lack of the big blockbuster movies in the running - I think that not having a "Titanic" this year is a good change. Most of the categories are pretty much locks this year - EXCEPT Best Picture. Honestly - that is the category prediction I'm worried about.

It always makes the show better when you don't know what the final act is. And this year - Best Picture could go to any of them.

So - here are our official Oscar Predictions for Sunday. Also - you can get a printable Oscar ballot - so you can predict your own HERE.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role


Adriana Barraza in “Babel”

Cate Blanchett in “Notes on a Scandal”

Abigail Breslin in “Little Miss Sunshine”

Jennifer Hudson in “Dreamgirls

Rinko Kikuchi in “Babel”

I don't want to jinx anything - but if there was one "sure thing" this year - it's this one. There is only one actress who really has all the buzz on this one. A shocker is always possible (ahem - "Crash") - but I think we all know who will probably be taking home an Oscar Sunday night.

Will Win: Jennifer Hudson - "Dreamgirls"
Should Win: Jennifer Hudson - "Dreamgirls"




Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role


Alan Arkin in “Little Miss Sunshine”

Jackie Earle Haley in “Little Children”

Djimon Hounsou in “Blood Diamond”

Eddie Murphy in “Dreamgirls

Mark Wahlberg in “The Departed”

Alot of people think this one is a lock also - but I don't think so. Eddie Murphy's role in "Dreamgirls" gave his early buzz and a Golden Globe - but it has lost some steam as of late. Murphy's current release "Norbit" could have something to do with that. But I definitely think Mark Wahlberg was incredible as Det. Dingam and truly deserves the award. He (like Hudson) controlled every scene he is in. Your eyes go directly to him. Really good performance.
Will Win: Eddie Murphy - "Dreamgirls"
Should Win: Mark Wahlberg - "The Departed"


Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Penélope Cruz in “Volver

Judi Dench in “Notes on a Scandal”

Helen Mirren in “The Queen”

Meryl Streep in “The Devil Wears Prada

Kate Winslet in “Little Children”

I believe Mirren has this in the bag - she was phenomenal as Queen Elizabeth II - and it is about time this actress has her own award.

Will Win: Helen Mirren - "The Queen"
Should Win: Helen Mirren - "The Queen"



Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role


Leonardo DiCaprio in “Blood Diamond”

Ryan Gosling in “Half Nelson”

Peter O’Toole in “Venus”

Will Smith in “The Pursuit of Happyness

Forest Whitaker in “The Last King of Scotland”


This is pretty much a two man race - and one is pretty far ahead. Forest Whitaker won raves and a Golden Globe for his performance in "The Last King of Scotland" - many saying he truly captured the evil of the dictator. But believe it or not - Peter O'Toole has never won an Oscar in his 51 years in movies - and he has been in some good stuff - "Lawrence of Arabia," "The Last Emperor," "Troy" and "Supergirl" - ok maybe not "Supergirl" but you get the picture. So I would not be surprised at all if O'Toole gets it.

Will Win: Forest Whitaker - "The Last King of Scotland"
Should Win: Forest Whitaker - "The Last King of Scotland"




Best Picture

"Babel"

"The Departed"

"Letters from Iwo Jima"

"Little Miss Sunshine"

"The Queen"

Like I said - this is the one to call. It's only really between three pics - "Babel", "Departed" and "Queen". But it is REALLY CLOSE. Whatever movie is the winner - we'll probably be surprised. But I have mixed what I have read about the race, past Oscar traditions and my own gut feeling - and this is how I am calling it.

Will Win: "The Departed"
Should Win: "Babel"



Here are a couple of other quick predictions:


Best Director: Martin Scorsese - "The Departed"


Best Animated Feature - "Happy Feet"

Best Documentary Feature - “An Inconvenient Truth”
Best Foreign Language Film - “Pan’s Labyrinth” Best Original Screenplay - “Pan's Labyrinth

Best Adapted Screenplay - "The Departed"


Hope everyone enjoys Sunday's show!!